Some stats that might interest y'all:
- Based on the lines that I've cited here, favorites have a .645 winning percentage in straight-up games this year.
- Favorites are just .333 when it comes to beating the spread.
- Underdogs? They've beaten the spread .562 percent of the time.
- Ten percent of the first 48 games (5) hit the spread exactly, with the house keeping all the money.
I was happy with my 32-16 record, but that's only a game ahead of where I'd be if I mindlessly bet every favorite this year.
I think I only picked a couple of upsets and seven dogs this week. Maybe I'm being too conservative...