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Wednesday, August 20, 2008


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This post definitely applies to me. I can't decide if its truly because its worth being nervous about (hey, I was pretty damn sure we were gonna win last time AND the time before that, even though our candidates weren't so charismatic and this whole summer-lovin' thing Obama's got going on doesn't necessarily mean a thing come election time) or just because I'd rather give the elections my attention than whatever is going on in pop culture (although I am quite enjoying the drama of the Olympics).

Maybe it's just because I came of political age just in time to protest Little Bush's inauguration, or maybe its my strong memories of staying up at night as a kid watching Dukakis steadily fail, but I'm not sure I know how to chill out and allow myself to be a political winner. But that's what meditation and running are for.

Anyway, liked the post.


speaking from the viewpoint of an independent McCain supporter, i hate polls.

i believe that most (99.9 percent) of the people who do polling have an axe to grind. they cook the results by how they ask the questions and to whom, all in order to influence those who read the poll results.

that, and people lie. the only place they make their true choices known are in the voting booth.

Dan's 100% right: don't listen to polls. or those who want you to obsess over them. just listen to the candidates and vote your conscience.


I don't hate polls, and I don't think most pollsters have an ax to grind. Their business is RELATIVE predictive accuracy, and there is a science to it.


1. Modern polling is based on calls to landline telephones. But telephone usage has changed, and thanks to the proliferation of cell phones, there are real reasons to question the sample that phone polling provides.

2. Asking people what they think when they haven't really thought about something is ... of limited utility. Garbage in, garbage out.

One other thing: Summer polling data during competitive presidential years... really just hasn't been predictive. Particularly before the conventions.

I like polls because you can learn stuff from them. But it's all about how you read them.

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